Trending Thursday #27

Anthropic races to 2026 IPO with $10B run rate + OpenAI declares 'Code Red'

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Here's what's been trending in Tech & VC this week:

  • Claude Code's Billion-Dollar Breakout: Anthropic's dev tool hit $1B ARR in just six months, powering its first acquisition and a potential $300B IPO

  • AWS's Multi-Front Assault: Amazon unveiled Trainium3 chips that are 4x faster, Nova AI models, and frontier agents, while partnering with Google Cloud

  • OpenAI's "Code Red" Panic: Altman shelved advertising and AI agents to focus all resources on ChatGPT after Gemini 3 took the benchmark crown

  • The 20M Log Ruling: A federal judge forced OpenAI to hand over 20M anonymized ChatGPT conversations to the NYT in the copyright battle

  • The $200M Enterprise Play: Anthropic inked a nine-figure Snowflake deal while projecting revenue to potentially triple to $26B next year

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๐Ÿš€ Anthropic's Breakout Year: From Safety Startup to IPO

The company that launched as "the responsible AI alternative" just hired IPO lawyers, made its first acquisition, and is printing money faster than OpenAI.

๐Ÿ“ˆ The Numbers That Make VCs Weep With Joy

Anthropic has tapped law firm Wilson Sonsini to begin IPO preparations, with a potential 2026 listing that could value the company north of $300B:

  • $300B+ Valuation Target: Up from $183B in September or a 64% jump in three months

  • $26B Revenue Projection: Nearly tripling its run rate by the end of 2026

  • 300K+ Business Customers: Up from fewer than 1,000 just two years ago

  • 10x Revenue Growth: On track to hit nearly $10B annualized run rate by the end of 2025, more than 10x what it generated in 2024

The Beautiful Irony: The company has an easier pathway to profitability than OpenAI, according to Deutsche Bank analysis. While Sam Altman declares "code red" (see below) and delays advertising plans, Dario Amodei is quietly building the enterprise AI machine that actually makes money.

๐Ÿ› ๏ธ First Acquisition: Buying the Engine Under the Hood

Anthropic is in talks to acquire Bun, the JavaScript runtime powering Claude Code's infrastructure, for a reported low hundreds of millions to become their first-ever acquisition:

  • $1B Claude Code Milestone: Hit run-rate revenue in November, just six months after general availability

  • Enterprise Customers: Netflix, Spotify, KPMG, L'Oreal, and Salesforce now rely on Claude Code

  • 7M+ Monthly Downloads: Bun gets downloaded more than most startups get page views

  • 82K+ GitHub Stars: Adopted by Midjourney and Lovable for speed and productivity

"Jarred and his team rethought the entire JavaScript toolchain from first principles while remaining focused on real use cases. Claude Code reached $1B in run-rate revenue in only 6 months, and bringing the Bun team into Anthropic means we can build the infrastructure to compound that momentum," said Chief Product Officer Mike Krieger.

Translation: When your coding tool is growing so fast that you need to buy the engine underneath it, you've moved from "product-market fit" to "product-market domination."

๐Ÿงช Eating Their Own Cooking: The 60% AI Workforce

Anthropic's internal research reveals that employees use Claude in 60% of their daily work, boosting productivity by 50%, mainly for debugging and code understanding.

Beyond the productivity gains, The Verge profiled Anthropic's societal impacts team, which studies AI's broader societal risks to address "inconvenient truths" beyond typical safety teams at AI startups.

Why It Matters: When your own employees voluntarily use your product for most of their job, and you have a dedicated team studying the downsides of your own technology, you've built something that's both real and self-aware.

๐Ÿ’ผ The $200M Snowflake Play: Enterprise AI Gets Serious

Snowflake and Anthropic inked a $200M multi-year deal to bring Claude-powered agents to 12,600+ enterprise customers across all three major clouds:

  • $200M Partnership: Nine-figure alignment with joint go-to-market initiative

  • Trillions of Tokens: Snowflake customers already processing trillions of Claude tokens monthly

  • Claude Opus 4.5 on Day One: Snowflake hosted Anthropic's flagship model immediately at launch

  • Internal Adoption: Snowflake uses Claude Code for engineering and a Claude-powered sales assistant

"Enterprises have spent years building secure, trusted data environments, and now they want AI that can work within those environments without compromise," said Dario Amodei. "Anthropic joins a very select group of partners where we have nine-figure alignment, co-innovation at the product level, and a proven track record of executing together for customers worldwide," added Snowflake CEO Sridhar Ramaswamy.

The Reality Check: While OpenAI chases 800M free-tier chatbot users, Anthropic is locking up the customers who actually pay enterprise prices. It has transformed from "the safety-focused OpenAI competitor" into a legitimate enterprise juggernaut. The $1B Claude Code run rate and 10x revenue growth make an IPO narrative compelling.

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๐Ÿญ AWS Goes Nuclear at re:Invent: Chips, Models & More

Amazon used re:Invent 2025 to make an aggressive play for AI infra dominance, unveiling custom silicon, new foundation models, and enterprise AI tools designed to compete directly with Nvidia and challenge OpenAI/Anthropic on the model front.

โšก Trainium3: The Chip That Wants Nvidia's Lunch

Amazon launched Trainium3, saying the AI chip is 4x faster than Trainium2 and can cut AI training and operating costs by up to 50% compared to equivalent GPUs:

  • 4.4x Faster: Compute performance leap over Trainium2 UltraServers

  • 4x More Energy Efficient: 40% less power consumption per operation

  • 144 Chips Per UltraServer: Scalable to 1M chips across linked systems

  • 50% Cost Reduction: Anthropic, Karakuri, and Splash Music are already cutting inference costs in half

AWS also teased Trainium4, which is already in development and will support Nvidia's NVLink Fusion interconnect tech. This means the AWS Trainium4-powered systems will be able to interoperate and extend their performance with Nvidia GPUs while still using Amazon's homegrown, lower-cost server rack tech.

The Nvidia Olive Branch: "We're building our own chips, but we'll still play nice with the incumbent, for now." When power and data center capacity are the scarce resources, producing 5 times the number of tokens per megawatt isn't incremental; it's existential.

๐Ÿค– New Models & Agents: Amazon Finally Has Its Own AI Family

Nova Models: Amazon rolled out second-generation Nova AI models, including multimodal reasoning capabilities that put it in direct competition with GPT and Gemini:

  • Nova Lite: Lightweight model for standard tasks

  • Nova Pro: Complex reasoning for enterprise workloads

  • Nova Sonic: Natural voice conversations

  • Nova Omni: Fully multimodal that processes text, audio, and video simultaneously

Nova Forge: AWS also launched Nova Forge, a $100K/year service that gives enterprises access to pre-trained or mid-trained Nova models and allows them to fine-tune them with private data. This is the Goldilocks option for companies that find off-the-shelf models too generic but can't build from scratch.

Frontier Agents: Amazon also debuted three "frontier agents" capable of handling complex, multi-day projects without constant human babysitting:

  • Kiro Autonomous Agent: Navigates multiple code repositories to fix bugs

  • AWS Security Agent: Actively tests applications for vulnerabilities

  • AWS DevOps Agent: Responds to system outages and implements fixes

Bedrock AgentCore: Amazon also expanded AgentCore with new tools for managing agent boundaries, agent memory, and agent evaluation. When your agents can remember what they did yesterday and explain why, you've moved from chatbot to coworker.

๐Ÿ—๏ธ AI Factories: Bringing the Cloud to Your Data Center

AWS launched AI Factories, letting enterprises deploy AWS-managed AI infra, including Trainium chips and Nvidia GPUs, inside their own facilities:

  • On-Premises AI: Full AWS stack in customer data centers

  • Sovereignty Solution: For organizations with regulatory or data residency requirements

  • HUMAIN Partnership: Saudi Arabia building an "AI Zone" with up to 150K AI chips

  • Multicloud Future: AWS and Google Cloud announced a jointly-built multicloud networking solution, with Azure rollout planned for "later in 2026"

In an interview with Wired, AWS CEO Matt Garman laid out his AI vision: extending Amazon's cloud market lead by adding AI to every AWS service while driving down costs through custom silicon.

Why It Matters: AWS is positioning itself as a full-stack AI provider, from custom chips to foundation models to agentic tools, giving enterprises an alternative to the Nvidia/OpenAI ecosystem. The message is clear: you no longer need to choose between cloud flexibility and on-premises control.

๐Ÿšจ OpenAI's "Code Red": The Disruptor Gets Disrupted

For the first time since ChatGPT's launch, OpenAI is playing defense. Internal memos reveal scrambling to improve ChatGPT, engagement metrics favor competitors, and the company is juggling legal battles while pushing into new frontiers.

๐Ÿ“‰ The Memo That Shook San Francisco

Sam Altman declared a "code red" to shift more resources toward improving ChatGPT amid rising competition, delaying other plans:

  • Advertising Plans: Delayed indefinitely

  • AI Agents for Health & Shopping: Pushed back

  • Personal Assistant "Pulse": On hold

  • Daily Standups: Altman established daily calls for ChatGPT improvement teams

"We are at a critical time for ChatGPT," Altman wrote in the memo. Publicly, he congratulated Google on Gemini 3, calling it "a great model." Privately, he told employees that Google's AI progress could "create some temporary economic headwinds for our company" and that he expected "the vibes out there to be rough for a bit."

The Response: OpenAI is developing a new LLM codenamed "Garlic" that outperforms Gemini 3 and Claude Opus 4.5 in coding and reasoning tasks, according to internal evaluations.

The competitive squeeze comes alongside mounting legal headaches that could reshape the company's future:

  • NYT Copyright Case: A US federal judge ruled that OpenAI must produce 20M anonymized ChatGPT chat logs in the copyright lawsuit brought by The New York Times and other news outlets

  • California Ballot Measure: CANI filed a CA ballot initiative to let an oversight board review and undo science and tech nonprofit conversions since January 2024, indirectly targeting OpenAI's recent restructuring

  • The Confession Experiments: OpenAI is testing training LLMs to produce "confessions," or self-report how they carried out a task and own up to bad behavior, like appearing to lie or cheat

Why It Matters: The "code red" memo is the clearest signal yet that OpenAI's dominance isn't assured. The Garlic development suggests they're racing to leapfrog competitors, but also hints at Sam Altman's expanding ambitions, or distraction.

๐Ÿค– Product Launch Quick Hits: The Week in AI Releases

๐Ÿ”ฒ Amazonโ€™s New Kindles: Just when you canโ€™t get enough, Amazon plans to release its $630 Kindle Scribe Colorsoft and $500 Kindle Scribe on December 10, but won't offer preorders.

๐Ÿ“ธ Samsung's 200MP Fold Flex: Launched the Galaxy Z Fold7 with a 200 MP camera (up from 50 MP), 8-inch foldable display, Snapdragon 8 Elite processor, and a wider 21:9 cover screen arriving July 9.

๐ŸŽญ Mistral's 675B Parameter Illusion: Launched Mistral 3 family, including Large 3 with 675B total parameters that activate only 41B per token, competing with GPT-4o and Claude while releasing everything open-source under Apache 2.0.

๐Ÿค– Google's No-Code Agent Factory: Launched Workspace Studi,o allowing users to build custom AI agents across Gmail, Drive, and Sheets in minutes using Gemini 3, no coding required.

๐ŸŽฌ Runway's Leaderboard Takeover: Released Gen-4.5 on December 1, debuting at No. 1 on the Video Arena leaderboard and beating Google's Veo 3 and OpenAI's Sora 2 Pro with superior physical realism and visual fidelity.

๐Ÿ”„ Personnel Quick Hits: Musical Chairs, AI Edition

๐ŸŽ Apple's AI Reset: John Giannandrea is retiring after leading AI since 2018, with ex-Microsoft CVP Amar Subramanya taking over while parts of the org scatter to other execs.

๐ŸŽจ Apple's Design Defection: Alan Dye, Apple's VP of Human Interface Design since 2015, is leaving for Meta as Chief Design Officer while 26-year Apple veteran Stephen Lemay takes over.

๐Ÿ‘ถ Binance Keeps It In The Family: Co-founder Yi He named co-CEO alongside Richard Teng, becoming one of the few women leading a major crypto exchange as they target 1B users.

๐ŸŽ Meta's Apple Design Raid: Zuckerberg hired longtime Apple design VP Alan Dye and design lead Billy Sorrentino to lead a new creative studio in Reality Labs.

๐ŸŒŸ Editor's Note

At Startup Intros, our mission is to bring the latest founder-investor news straight to your inbox, keeping you ahead in the fast-paced world of Silicon Valley.

๐Ÿ’ญ Parting Thoughts

Three years ago, ChatGPT triggered Google's "code red." This week, Sam Altman declared his own: the AI revolution has officially come full circle.

But the real story isn't OpenAI's scramble or Google's comeback. It's Anthropic's quiet transformation from "the safety-focused alternative" into an enterprise juggernaut, hitting $1B in revenue in six months, acquiring infrastructure companies, and preparing for what could be one of the largest tech IPOs in history. While the giants trade punches over chatbot benchmarks, Anthropic is locking up the customers who actually pay.

Forward to a friend or hit reply to let me know what you're seeing in your world.

Till next time!

Dev Chandra
Founder & CEO @ Startup Intros
Associate @ Context VC
LinkedIn: /in/devchandra

P.S. Raised this week, and we missed you? Want to be featured? Have tips or funding questions? Reply or DM us as weโ€™re here to help.

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